The Polls Still Do Not Show A GOP Bounce Back

Ele

ction Update Th

e Polls Still Do Not Show A GOP Bounce Back By Nat

e Silver Sep.

2

3, 2022, at 1:49 PM ILLUSTR

ATION BY EMILY SCHERER Ever since we launch

ed our election model in late

June, it has moved entirely in one direction: toward Democrats. Pretty much every week, they’ve either gained ground in our forecast or held steady.  This week has been more in the “held steady” category. In the Deluxe version of our model, Democrats’

chances of keeping the Senate are 71 percent, while their chances of holding the House are 31 percent. Neither number has meaningfully changed from

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