Ele
e Polls Still Do Not Show A GOP Bounce Back By Nat
2
3, 2022, at 1:49 PM ILLUSTR
ATION BY EMILY SCHERER Ever since we launch
ed our election model in late
June, it has moved entirely in one direction: toward Democrats. Pretty much every week, they’ve either gained ground in our forecast or held steady. This week has been more in the “held steady” category. In the Deluxe version of our model, Democrats’
chances of keeping the Senate are 71 percent, while their chances of holding the House are 31 percent. Neither number has meaningfully changed from
Disclaimer: This article may require a subscription.