How Florida Beat New York

In a 2018 speech, Hillary Clinton claimed a partial victory in the presidential election she’d lost: “I won the places that are optimistic, diverse, dynamic, moving forward. And [Donald Trump’s] whole campaign, ‘Make America Great Again,’ was looking backwards.” Clinton was echoing a sentiment felt by many on the left, that Democratic-leaning states represent the future and Republican ones represent the last gasps of a dying empire.

[Read: America is growing apart, possibly for good]Red states do tend to be poorer, sicker,

less productive, and less educated. But Clinton’s remarks ignored trends indicating a coming reversal of fortunes. Just a few

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